Smart World Project: The System for Technological Development Prediction ( Preliminary Project Definition ) Download Word document Home

Digest of the Problem Description

One of the chess grandmasters said that there are no good moves in a bad position.

And so it is in the technology area. The dual relationships between inventions (inventors) and technology (new inventions make it possible to use new technology and a new technology brings new inventions) make choosing the right direction (that is, right positioning) of development the most important part of achieving corporate goals.

Unfortunately, especially in big and powerful organizations, the direction of development efforts is very often determined by thinking inertia. Spending big money does not always lead to big results.

Only knowledge of the right direction can save time and money, and make it possible to achieve corporate goals.

The Project Goals

Computer based system to assist in the prediction of technological systems development, to concentrate efforts on making next inventions in right direction.

The Main Idea

Technological systems evolution modeling environment based on the following concepts:

• There is a common part (general rules) in evolution of every system. 
• Every object can be described as multilevel system with relatively independent levels (not structural levels, but type levels: e.g. technology - technological system).
• The relations between objects of higher ( outer scope etc. ) levels determine the rules of evolution of the lower level objects.
• It is possible to build an environment to simulate the evolution of technological objects and provide this environment with knowledge base of existing technological objects.
• Two ways of system implementation ( they can both be used ): adding new descriptions of a technological object to the system and observation of its development or periodical controlling of evolution in all of the system's objects.

The Solution parts

• Technological system description language.
• Technological evolution environment description language.
• Technological sources (physical, chemical, geometrical, biological, psychological, organizational and so on principles) description language.
• Technological systems knowledge base.
• Technological evolution modeling environment.
• Narrow and wide access user interfaces.
• Customer interaction interfaces.

The Idea diagrams

Current technological system development process.

Existing solutions and limitations.

Proposed solution.

Product structure.

The System for Technological Development Prediction
|
|______ Methodological basis
|  |
|  |_____  TSDL  - Technological system description language
|  |_____  TEDL  - Technological evolution environment description language
|  |_____  TFSDL - Technological feature sources description language
|  |_____  TSGC  - Technological system genetic code language
|  |_____  Technological system description - genetic code translation procedure
|  |_____  MMGA  - Modified multilevel genetic algorithm for different type 
|  |               of objects
|  |_____  Technological system genotype - phenotype translation principles
| 
|______ Technological evolution modeling environment.
|  | 
|  |_____  General "technological system as object" supporting module
|  |_____  General "operational environment" module
|  |_____  Technological system descriptions input translation module
|  |_____  Business rules input translation module
|  |_____  Business rules environment module
|  |_____  Feature source description input translation module
|  |_____  Feature source environment module
|  |_____  Modified Genetic Algorithm environment module
|  |_____  In-level objects interactions module
|  |_____  In-level evolution module
|  |_____  Interlevel object interactions module
|  |_____  Interlevel inheritance module
|  |_____  Interlevel evolution module
|  |_____  Interlevel feature building module
|  |_____  Descriptions output translation module
|
|______ User interface
|  | 
|  |_____  System management module
|  |_____  Technological system description input
|  |_____  Technological system development trace output
|  |_____  Knowledge capturing
|  |_____  Knowledge representation
|  |_____  Knowledge browsing
|  |_____  Internet access modules
| 
|______ The system's knowledge base
   |   
   |_____  Technological feature sources
   |_____  Technological system features
   |_____  Technological system functions
   |_____  Technological system interaction rules
   |_____  Technological evolution rules
   |_____  Technological systems

Useful links.

• Altshuller Institute for TRIZ Studies
• The TRIZ Journal
• Axiomatic Design
• Value engineering
• Technical Innovation Center
• NLP and DHE
• Metasystem Transition Theory
• Biosemiotics
• Invention Machine
• Neuro Linguistic Programming
• Prediction Methods in Science and Technology